Conventional wisdom says, if the Neocons run a third-party candidate against Trump, Hillary would win. (Maybe that’s what the Neocons want. After all, Hillary herself is a Neocon.) But what Kristol and company say in response is they think they can siphon enough votes from both Trump and Clinton to throw the race into the House of Representatives--where Neocon House Speaker Paul Ryan could shove an establishment candidate (maybe himself) through the House. It’s only happened twice in U.S. history: in 1800, when the House elected Thomas Jefferson after he and Aaron Burr received an equal number of electoral votes, and in 1824, when Andrew Jackson won the election in a four-man race but failed to win the number of required electoral votes, and subsequently the House elected John Quincy Adams. Ostensibly, that’s what the Neocons would be hoping for with an establishment third-party run in 2016.
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